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Date: Saturday, February 27, 2021
Time: 8:00 p.m.
Venue: Chesapeake Energy Arena
TV Coverage: N/A
Moneyline: Nuggets -280 Thunder +230
Spread: Nuggets -7
Total: 220.5
Odds to Win NBA Championship: Nuggets +3000 Thunder +25000
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This matchup is the regular-season finale between these two teams. The Nuggets won the previous two meetings, with a 97-95 win on Feb. 12 and a 119-101 victory on Jan. 19.
The Thunder are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back, with a 118-109 win against the Atlanta Hawks Friday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring, with 24 points in 36 minutes, shooting 9 for 16 from the field. Darius Bazely, Lu Dort, Isaiah Roby and Théo Maledon all saw minutes above 30 minutes as starters.
Al Horford is expected to return to the lineup after sitting the first game of the back-to-back for rest and Hamidou Diallo will miss Saturday’s matchup with a lingering groin injury.
The Nuggets will be without Gary Harris (thigh), JaMychal Green (shoulder), Paul Millsap (knee) and PJ Dozier (hamstring) for Saturday’s game. Expect a Monte Morris and Michael Porter Jr. to remain in the starting lineup.
As a road favorite, the Nuggets have a 7-4 record, scoring 116.8 points per game and covering the spread six times. They have played at a 96.1 possessions per game pace and have allowed 109.3 points to opponents.
As a home underdog, the Thunder are 5-10, scoring 106.3 points per game and playing at a 100.9 possessions per game pace. They have covered the spread six times.
SG Betting Model Win Probability: Nuggets 55.86% Thunder: 44.14%
SG Betting Model ML Star Rating: Thunder 5 Stars
SG Betting Model Spread Star Rating: Thunder 5 Stars
SG Betting Model Total Star Rating: O 2 Stars
Check Out the SportsGrid Betting Model For Live Odds and Predictions on Updated Odds
Note: The SportsGrid betting model changes throughout the day to adjust for player news and injuries. Be sure to check out theupdated model projections as the news continues to break, leading up to game time.